Insight

A Closer Look at CBO’s Score of the One Big Beautiful Bill

Executive Summary 

  • On July 4, President Trump signed H.R. 1 (commonly known as the One Big Beautiful Bill), the crux of his domestic policy agenda, into law, which makes permanent the 2017 tax cuts; includes his campaign promises to eliminate taxes on tips and overtime pay; boosts funding for border security; and makes significant reforms to Medicaid, among other reforms.
  • The Congressional Budget Office’s (CBO) score of the enacted legislation estimates that it will increase primary (non-interest) budget deficits by $3.4 trillion over the fiscal year 2025–2034 budget window.
  • CBO’s score of the legislation is a conventional estimate, meaning it does not include the economic effects of the legislation; a dynamic estimate of the legislation would yield different results.

Introduction

On July 4, President Trump signed H.R. 1, commonly known as the One Big Beautiful Bill, into law. The legislation is the crux of the president’s domestic policy agenda. It makes permanent the 2017 tax cuts; includes President Trump’s campaign promises to eliminate taxes on tips and overtime pay; boosts funding for border security; and makes significant reforms to Medicaid, among other reforms. The Congressional Budget Office’s (CBO) score of the enacted legislation estimates that it will increase primary (non-interest) budget deficits by $3.4 trillion over the fiscal year (FY) 2025–2034 budget window. Notably, CBO’s score of the legislation is a conventional estimate, meaning it does not include the economic effects of the One Big Beautiful Bill. A dynamic estimate of the legislation would yield different results.

Below is a committee-by-committee breakdown of the CBO score of the One Big Beautiful Bill.

Summary of Provisions in the One Big Beautiful Bill

Committee

Reconciliation Instruction

Reconciliation Measures

Agriculture, Nutrition, and Forestry Committee

-$1.0 billion

-$121.0 billion

Armed Services Committee

$150.0 billion

$149.5 billion

Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs Committee

-$1.0 billion

-$1.7 billion

Commerce, Science, and Transportation Committee

$20.0 billion

-$44.0 billion

Energy and Natural Resources Committee

-$1.0 billion

-$21.3 billion

Environment and Public Works Committee

$1.0 billion

-$3.5 billion

Finance Committee

$1.5 trillion

$3.6 trillion

Health, Education, Labor, and Pensions Committee

-$1.0 billion

-$284.0 billion

Homeland Security and Government Affairs Committee

$175.0 billion

$128.9 billion

Judiciary Committee

$175.0 billion

$8.9 billion

Interactions

n/a

$3.0 billion

Total

$2.0 trillion

$3.4 trillion

Gross Costs

$2.0 trillion

$1.1 trillion

Gross Savings

-$4.0 billion

-$4.5 trillion

Sources: CBO and Senate Budget Committee. Numbers may not sum due to rounding.

Agriculture, Nutrition, and Forestry Committee. The FY 2025 budget resolution instructed the Senate Agriculture, Nutrition, and Forestry Committee to construct reconciliation measures to reduce budget deficits by at least $1 billion through FY 2034. CBO estimates that the committee-drafted measures in the One Big Beautiful Bill will save $121.0 billion over the FY 2025–2034 budget window.

Agriculture, Nutrition, and Forestry Provisions in the One Big Beautiful Bill

Provision

FY 2025–2034 Cost/Savings (-)

Increase the age limit for SNAP work requirements from 54 to 64, require parents or guardians of children over age 14 to work, and place limits on work requirement waivers

-$68.6 billion

Establish Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP) matching funds requirement for states beginning in FY 2028

-$40.8 billion

Prohibit SNAP benefit increases beyond inflation

-$37.3 billion

Reduce federal share of costs for administering SNAP from 50 to 25 percent

-$24.7 billion

Exclude household internet expenses from SNAP benefit calculations

-$11.0 billion

Other SNAP changes

-$13.3 billion

Funding for major working lands conservation programs

-$1.8 billion

Increase farm subsidies and other agricultural safety net programs

$61.8 billion

Funding for agricultural trade promotion and facilitation, research, energy, horticulture, and other matters

$5.7 billion

Interactions among provisions

$9.0 billion

Subtotal, Agriculture, Nutrition, and Forestry Committee

-$121.0 billion

Sources: CBO and author’s calculations. Numbers may not sum due to rounding.

Armed Services Committee. The FY 2025 budget resolution instructed the Senate Armed Services Committee to construct reconciliation measures to increase budget deficits by a maximum amount of $150 billion through FY 2034. CBO estimates that the committee-drafted measures in the One Big Beautiful Bill will cost $149.5 billion over the FY 2025–2034 budget window.

Armed Services Committee Provisions in the One Big Beautiful Bill

Provision

FY 2025–2034 Cost/Savings (-)

Funding for shipbuilding

$27.6 billion

Funding for munitions and industrial base

$23.8 billion

Funding for air and missile defense

$23.2 billion

Funding for low-cost weapons, audits, and cybersecurity

$15.8 billion

Funding for military readiness

$15.5 billion

Funding for nuclear forces

$14.2 billion

Funding for Indo-Pacific Command

$12.1 billion

Funding to improve the quality of life for military personnel

$8.3 billion

Funding for air superiority

$8.2 billion

Funding for border security

$1.0 billion

Subtotal, Armed Services Committee

$149.5 billion

Sources: CBO and author’s calculations. Numbers may not sum due to rounding.

Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs Committee. The FY 2025 budget resolution instructed the Senate Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs Committee to construct reconciliation measures to reduce budget deficits by at least $1 billion through FY 2034. CBO estimates that the committee-drafted measures in the One Big Beautiful Bill will save $1.7 billion over the FY 2025–2034 budget window.

Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs Committee Provisions in the One Big Beautiful Bill

Provision

FY 2025–2034 Cost/Savings (-)

Reform Consumer Financial Protection Bureau funding mechanism

-$2.0 billion

Sweep unused funds from the Securities and Exchange Commission’s Reserve fund and prohibit future use of the fund

-$0.4 billion

Rescind funding from the Green and Resilient Retrofit program

-$0.1 billion

Funding for Defense Production Act fund

$0.9 billion

Subtotal, Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs Committee

-$1.7 billion

Sources: CBO and author’s calculations. Numbers may not sum due to rounding.

Commerce, Science, and Transportation Committee. The FY 2025 budget resolution instructed the Senate Commerce, Science, and Transportation Committee to construct reconciliation measures to increase budget deficits by a maximum amount of $20 billion through FY 2034. CBO estimates that the committee-drafted measures in the One Big Beautiful Bill will save $44.0 billion over the FY 2025–2034 budget window.

Commerce, Science, and Transportation Committee Provisions in the One Big Beautiful Bill

Provision

FY 2025–2034 Cost/Savings (-)

Hold spectrum auctions -$85.0 billion
Lower the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration’s Corporate Average Fuel Economy civil monetary penalties against automakers to zero

-$2.8 billion

Rescind certain funds for the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and the Public Wireless Supply Chain Innovation Fund

-$1.0 billion

Funding for the U.S. Coast Guard

$23.1 billion

Funding for Air Traffic Control improvements

$12.0 billion

Funding for Mars missions, Artemis missions, and the Moon to Mars program

$10.0 billion

Other provisions

-$0.4 billion

Subtotal, Commerce, Science, and Transportation Committee

-$44.0 billion

Sources: CBO and author’s calculations. Numbers may not sum due to rounding.

Energy and Natural Resources Committee. The FY 2025 budget resolution instructed the Senate Energy and Natural Resources Committee to construct reconciliation measures to reduce budget deficits by at least $1 billion through FY 2034. CBO estimates that the committee-drafted measures in the One Big Beautiful Bill will save $21.3 billion over the FY 2025–2034 budget window.

Energy and Natural Resources Committee Provisions in the One Big Beautiful Bill

Provision

FY 2025–2034 Cost/Savings (-)

Onshore oil and gas lease sales

-$11.4 billion

Rescind funding from certain Inflation Reduction Act-established programs

-$7.1 billion

Offshore oil and gas lease sales

-$4.2 billion

Alaska oil and gas lease sales

-$0.6 billion

Coal lease sales

-$0.2 billion

Require the Forest Service and the Bureau of Land Management to engage in timber sales and long-term contracting

-$0.4 billion

Rescind National Park Service and Bureau of Land Management funds

-$0.3 billion

Funding for surface water storage and water conveyance enhancement

$1.0 billion

Replenish the Strategic Petroleum Reserve

$0.9 billion

Reform Department of Energy loan program

$0.8 billion

Funding to celebrate the United States’ 250th anniversary

$0.2 billion

Other provisions

$0.3 billion

Subtotal, Energy and Natural Resources Committee

-$21.3 billion

Sources: CBO and author’s calculations. Numbers may not sum due to rounding.

Environment and Public Works Committee. The FY 2025 budget resolution instructed the Senate Environment and Public Committee to construct reconciliation measures to increase budget deficits by a maximum amount of $1 billion through FY 2034. CBO estimates that the committee-drafted measures in the One Big Beautiful Bill will save $3.5 trillion over the FY 2025–2034 budget window.

Environment and Public Works Committee Provisions in the One Big Beautiful Bill

Provision

FY 2025–2034 Cost/Savings (-)

Rescind unspent funds from the Environment and Public Works Committee’s title of the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA)

-$5.1 billion

Pause IRA methane tax for ten years

$1.4 billion

Funding for the Kennedy Center

$0.3 billion

Subtotal, Environment and Public Works Committee

-$3.5 billion

Sources: CBO and author’s calculations. Numbers may not sum due to rounding.

Finance Committee. The FY 2025 budget resolution instructed the Senate Finance Committee to construct reconciliation measures to increase budget deficits by a maximum amount of $1.5 trillion through FY 2034. CBO estimates that the committee-drafted measures in the One Big Beautiful Bill will cost $3.6 trillion over the FY 2025–2034 budget window.

Finance Committee Provisions in the One Big Beautiful Bill

Provision

FY 2025–2034 Cost/Savings (-)

Extend Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017  
Extend reduced individual income tax rates (10%, 12%, 22%, 24%, 32%, 35%, and 37%)

$2.2 trillion

Extend and enhance increased standard deduction

$1.4 trillion

Extend repeal of personal exemptions

-$1.8 trillion

Extend increased Alternative Minimum Tax exemption amounts and modified phaseout thresholds

$1.4 trillion

Increase state and local tax deduction cap from $10,000 to $40,000 and phase down cap for income above $500,000

-$946.2 billion

Extend and enhance increased Child Tax Credit

$816.8 billion

Extend 20% Qualified Business Income (QBI) Deduction, expand deduction phase-in range, and create minimum deduction of $400

$736.5 billion

Limit tax benefits of itemized deductions

$255.5 billion

Extend termination of miscellaneous itemized deductions other than eligible educator expenses

-$231.6 billion

Extend and enhance increased estate and gift tax exemption amounts

$211.7 billion

Extend $750,000 mortgage interest deduction

-$39.5 billion

Extend repeal of deduction and exclusion for moving expenses

-$13.6 billion

Extend other Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017 provisions

-$1.2 billion

Provide Middle-Class Tax Relief  
No tax on overtime through 2028

$89.6 billion

No tax on tips through 2028

$31.7 billion

No tax on car loan interest

$30.6 billion

Create Money Accounts for Growth and Advancement savings accounts and pilot program for newborns

$15.6 billion

Provide Family Tax Relief  
Enhance child and dependent care tax credit and dependent care assistance program

$15.2 billion

Enhance Adoption Tax Credit

$2.3 billion

Enhance employer-provided child care tax credit

$0.7 billion

Provide Community Development Tax Relief  
Create $1,000 ($2,000 for couples) deduction of charitable contributions made by non-itemizers

$73.8 billion

Impose 0.5-percent floor deduction of charitable contributions made by itemizers

$63.1 billion

Impose 1-percent floor on deduction of charitable contributions made by corporations

$16.6 billion

Reform taxation of opportunity zones

$41.0 billion

Enhance Low-Income Housing Tax Credit

$15.7 billion

Extend New Markets Tax Credit

$5.2 billion

Other provisions

$4.1 billion

Provide Small Business and Rural America Tax Relief  
Expand qualified small business stock gain exclusion

$17.2 billion

Repeal revision to de minimis rules for third party network transactions

$8.9 billion

Reform treatment of capital gains from the sale of certain farmland property

$7.3 billion

Increase threshold for requiring information reporting for certain payees

$4.2 billion

Restore taxable real estate investment trust subsidiary asset test

$3.2 billion

Exclude interest on loans security by rural or agricultural real property

$2.0 billion

Other provisions

$1.9 billion

Provide Business Tax Relief  
Extend 100 percent bonus depreciation

$362.7 billion

Allow full expensing of research and experimental costs

$141.5 billion

Allow 100 percent depreciation of qualified production property

$141.4 billion

Increase business interest deduction cap

$60.5 billion

Increase dollar limitations for expensing of certain depreciable business assets

$24.8 billion

Enhance Advanced Manufacturing Investment Tax Credit

$14.9 billion

Extend and enhance paid family and medical leave tax credit

$5.5 billion

Other provisions

$2.0 billion

Provide International Tax Relief  
Modify deduction for foreign-derived deduction amount eligible income and net controlled foreign corporation tested income

$86.9 billion

Extend and modify base erosion and anti-abuse minimum tax amount

$30.6 billion

Modify rules related to the allocation and appointment of deductions to income in the global intangible low-tax income category for determining foreign tax credit limitation

$29.7 billion

Modify rules related to determination of deemed paid credit for taxes attributable to tested income

$24.7 billion

Modify business interest limitation

-$21.7 billion

Modify pro rata share rules

-$16.3 billion

Extend look-through rule for related controlled foreign corporations

$9.7 billion

Modify definition of deduction eligible income

$7.6 billion

Modify rules related to deemed intangible income

$6.6 billion

Source certain income from the sale of inventory produced in the United States

$6.4 billion

Other provisions

$2.6 billion

Provide Other Tax Relief  
Modify de minimis entry privilege for commercial shipments

-$39.3 billion

Extend limit on excess business losses for noncorporate taxpayers

-$18.4 billion

Add entity aggregation rule for purposes employee renumeration deduction disallowance

-$15.7 billion

Clarify treatment of payments from partnerships to partners for property or services

-$12.4 billion

Impose 3.5-percent excise tax on certain remittance transfers

-$10.0 billion

Expand tax on excess employee compensation

-$3.8 billion

Create tax credit for contributions to scholarship-granting organizations

$25.9 billion

Extend exclusion for employer payments of student loans

$11.2 billion

Other provisions

-$2.0 billion

Repeal or Reform Clean Energy Tax Credits

 
Repeal Clean Electricity Investment tax credit

-$165.7 billion

Repeal Qualified Commercial Clean Vehicle tax credit

-$104.5 billion

Repeal Clean Vehicle tax credit

-$77.8 billion

Repeal Residential Clean Energy tax credit

-$77.4 billion

Phase out Advanced Manufacturing Production tax credit

-$50.0 billion

Repeal Clean Electricity Production tax credit

-$24.9 billion

Repeal Energy Efficient Home Improvement tax credit

-$21.2 billion

Repeal Previously-Owned Clean Vehicle tax credit

-$7.4 billion

Repeal Clean Hydrogen Production tax credit

-$5.9 billion

Repeal New Energy Efficient Home tax credit

-$5.4 billion

Repeal Alternative Fuel Vehicle Refueling Property tax credit

-$2.0 billion

Repeal cost recovery for energy property

-$0.3 billion

Repeal Energy Efficient Commercial Buildings deduction

-$0.1 billion

Extend and modify Clean Fuel Production tax credit

$25.7 billion

Restrict Carbon Oxide Sequestration tax credit

$14.2 billion

Other provisions

$3.7 billion

Reform Medicare and Medicaid  
Require states to establish Medicaid work requirements

-$317.0 billion

Prohibit non-expansion states from increasing provider taxes

-$182.7 billion

Revise payment limit for Medicaid state directed payments

-$149.4 billion

Limit eligibility of aliens for premium tax credits

-$124.2 billion

Prohibit implementation of Medicare Saving Programs eligibility and enrollment rule

-$66.0 billion

Require states to conduct Medicaid eligibility redeterminations every six months for enrolled through the Affordable Care Act’s Medicaid expansion

-$58.0 billion

Prohibit implementation of Medicaid, Children’s Health Insurance Program (CHIP), and Basic Health Program eligibility and enrollment rule

-$53.6 billion

Require verification of certain insurance information for premium tax credit eligibility

-$41.3 billion

Prohibit premium tax credit eligibility in the case of certain coverage enrolled in during special enrollment period

-$40.8 billion

Reform waiver of uniform tax requirement for Medicaid provider tax

-$34.0 billion

Equalize Medicaid FMAP for aliens receiving emergency Medicaid

-$28.0 billion

Prohibit implementation of staffing standards rule for Medicare and Medicaid long-term care facilities,

-$23.1 billion

Eliminate limits on recapture of advance payments of premium tax credits

-$19.5 billion

Reduce duplicate enrollment in Medicaid and CHIP

-$17.4 billion

Sunset increased FMAP incentive

-$12.8 billion

Require Medicaid expansion enrollees earning more than 100 percent of the Federal Poverty Line to pay cost-sharing amounts up to $35 per service

-$7.4 billion

Reduce erroneous excess payments in Medicaid

-$7.2 billion

Reform Medicaid eligibility for aliens

-$6.2 billion

Limit Medicaid retroactive coverage to the month preceding enrollment for ACA Medicaid expansion beneficiaries

-$4.2 billion

Cap home equity limit maximum at $1 million for determining eligibility for Medicaid-covered long-term services

-$0.2 billion

Funding for Rural Health Transformation Program

$47.2 billion

Reform coverage of Medicaid home- or community-based services

$6.6 billion

Limit Medicare coverage for certain individuals

$5.0 billion

Expand and clarify exclusion for orphan drugs under drug price negotiation program

$4.9 billion

Other provisions

-$9.5 billion

Interactions among provisions

$99.4 billion

Subtotal, Finance Committee

$3.6 trillion

Sources: CBO and author’s calculations. Numbers may not sum due to rounding,

Health, Education, Labor, and Pensions Committee. The FY 2025 budget resolution instructed the Senate Health, Education, Labor, and Pensions Committee to construct reconciliation measures to reduce budget deficits by at least $1 billion through FY 2034. CBO estimates that the committee-drafted measures in the One Big Beautiful Bill will save $284.0 billion over the FY 2025–2034 budget window.

Health, Education, Labor, and Pensions Committee Provisions in the One Big Beautiful Bill

Provision

FY 2025–2034 Cost/Savings (-)

Simplify student loan repayment for new borrowers and streamline income-driven repayment for existing borrowers

-$270.5 billion

Eliminate Grad PLUS loans, cap unsubsidized graduate and professional borrowing, and cap Parent PLUS loans

-$44.2 billion

Delay Biden-era expansion of Borrower Defense to Repayment regulation for ten years and restore Trump-era regulation

-$11.5 billion

Delay Biden-era expansion of Closed School Discharge regulation for ten years and restore Trump-era regulation

-$5.2 billion

Establish “do no harm” standard that ends federal student loan eligibility for programs that leave students worse off

-$0.8 billion

Provide funding to address the Pell Grant shortfall and reform and limit Pell Grant eligibility

$10.6 billion

Eliminate economic hardship and unemployment deferments of student loan payments, limit availability of forbearances, allow borrowers to rehabilitate defaulted student loans twice instead of once, allow payments made under the Repayment Assistance Plan to count toward Public Service Loan Forgiveness eligibility, and provide funding to the Department of Education for student loan servicing

$1.4 billion

Other provisions

$0.4 billion

Interactions among provisions

$35.8 billion

Subtotal, Health, Education, Labor, and Pensions Committee

$284.0 billion

Sources: CBO and author’s calculations. Numbers may not sum due to rounding.

 Homeland Security and Government Affairs Committee. The FY 2025 budget resolution instructed the Senate Homeland Security and Government Affairs Committee to construct reconciliation measures to increase budget deficits by a maximum amount of $175 billion through FY 2034. CBO estimates that the committee-drafted measures in the One Big Beautiful Bill will cost $128.9 billion over the FY 2025–2034 budget window.

Homeland Security and Government Affairs Committee Provisions in the One Big Beautiful Bill

Provision

FY 2025–2034 Cost/Savings (-)

Funding for detention of illegal aliens awaiting removal from the U.S.

$45.0 billion

Funding for border wall construction

$44.7 billion

Funding for state and local assistance

$12.6 billion

Funding for U.S. Customs and Border Protection personnel, fleet vehicles, and facilities

$12.0 billion

Funding for Department of Homeland Security

$10.0 billion

Funding for improvements to surveillance at the border

$6.2 billion

Funding for presidential residence protection

$0.3 billion

Funding for Office of Management and Budget

$0.1 billion

Funding for Pandemic Response Accountability Committee

$0.1 billion

Improve Federal Employees Health Benefits program

-$2.0 billion

Subtotal, Homeland Security and Government Affairs Committee

$128.9 billion

Sources: CBO and author’s calculations. Numbers may not sum due to rounding.

Judiciary Committee. The FY 2025 budget resolution instructed the Senate Judiciary Committee to construct reconciliation measures to increase budget deficits by a maximum amount of $175 billion through FY 2034. CBO estimates that the committee-drafted measures in the One Big Beautiful Bill will cost $8.9 billion over the FY 2025–2034 budget window.

Judiciary Committee Provisions in the One Big Beautiful Bill

Provision

FY 2025–2034 Cost/Savings (-)

Immigration Fees  
Impose $250 fee on aliens who travel to the U.S. on a nonimmigrant visa

-$27.4 billion

Increase Form I-94 fee from $6 to $30

-$9.5 billion

Increase Electronic System for Travel Authorization fee from $21 to $40

-$3.1 billion

Impose $100 annual fee each year an asylum application remains pending

-$1.1 billion

Impose minimum $550 employment authorization application fee on asylum applicants seeking employment, on aliens paroled into the U.S., and on aliens granted Temporary Protected Status (TPS) seeking employment

-$1.0 billion

Impose $550 fee on asylum applicants seeking a renewal or extension of employment authorization

-$0.7 billion

Impose $550 fee on aliens granted TPS seeking a renewal or extension of employment authorization

-$0.7 billion

Impose $500-$1,500 fee on applications for adjustment of status

-$0.5 billion

Impose minimum $1,000 fee on aliens applying for asylum

-$0.1 billion

Impose $5,000 fee on aliens ordered removed in absentia

-$0.1 billion

Impose $30 Electronic Visa Update System fee; impose minimum $1,000 fee on aliens paroled into the U.S.; impose $500 fee on aliens applying for TPS; impose $5,000 fee on aliens apprehended between ports of entry; and impose $500 fee on aliens that apply for Special Immigrant Juvenile Status if reunification with a parent or legal guardian is possible

-$0.1 billion

Immigration and Law Enforcement Funding  
Funding for U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement

$29.9 billion

Funding for the U.S. Bureau of Prisons

$4.8 billion

Funding for Bridging Immigration-Related Deficits Experienced Nationwide Reimbursement Fund

$3.5 billion

Funding for the Department of Justice

$3.3 billion

Funding for the Department of Homeland Security

$2.1 billion

Funding for the U.S. Secret Service

$1.2 billion

Funding for federal law enforcement training centers

$0.8 billion

Radiation Exposure Compensation  
Change eligibility for claims related to atmospheric testing

$5.5 billion

Change eligibility for claims related to uranium mining

$1.3 billion

Change eligibility for claims related to Manhattan Project waste

$0.9 billion

Subtotal, Judiciary Committee

$8.9 billion

Sources: CBO and author’s calculations. Numbers may not sum due to rounding.

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